GOP super PACs raise record sums to cover candidates who trail Democrats in Texas, Ohio and Michigan
Democratic Senate nominees in Texas, Michigan, Maine and Ohio out-raised their Republican rivals by $104.5 million from July through September. The GOP's main Senate super PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund, raised a record $272.9 million in the same quarter, CNBC reported.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence68
Both parties are campaigning against data centers in the toss-up races that could decide Congress
At least 20 governor candidates have promised data center moratoriums, according to Multistate research cited by Wired. For teams counting on capacity that has not been built yet, where a site goes and who pays for its power are now campaign questions in several states.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Cost-of-living concerns are driving energy policy fights in toss-up Senate races ahead of November
Senate candidates in Alaska and Michigan are pitching diesel export curbs and gas tax holidays to an electorate where 47% rank cost of living first. The oil and electricity costs behind those pledges look set to outlast November, whoever wins.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Kansas bankers pay to attack Republican Sen. Roger Marshall over swipe fees
Kansas bankers put about $250,000 into a roughly $1 million ad buy against Republican Sen. Roger Marshall over his swipe-fee bill. With co-lead Dick Durbin retiring, a Marshall loss would leave the Credit Card Competition Act without either lead Senate sponsor.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
House fast-tracks a 100-megawatt data center cost standard states can adopt at will
The Ratepayer Protection Act would let state regulators require AI data centers drawing 100 megawatts or more to pay for their own generation and transmission. Both of its sponsors are defending toss-up seats.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives78
- Confidence52
Winning four of six toss-up Senate seats would hand Democrats the regulator confirmation queue
Cook rates 21 Republican-held House seats as toss-ups against five Democratic ones. In the Senate, Democrats need four net gains out of six toss-ups. Only that chamber decides whether financial regulators get confirmed.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives45
- Confidence52
Huizenga's seat, not the national margin, decides who oversees crypto next Congress
Bankers' groups put ads on air for Bill Huizenga and Zach Nunn inside a single week. Three of the four House races American Banker flags are Republican-held.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives74
- Confidence44
Banking's 2026 problem is less the Senate majority than the Banking Committee roster
Democrats need a net four seats to take the chamber. The variable that bites banks sooner is who inherits the Banking Committee slots that Sherrod Brown, Andy Barr and Roy Cooper are chasing.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives40
- Confidence42