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California Democratic Party

State affiliate of the Democratic Party that organizes party operations, endorsements, and policy advocacy across California.

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Prop 40 leads 48-41, which is exactly the position a wealth tax loses from

California's one-time 5% billionaire asset tax is ahead but under 50% with 11% undecided. The poll's own director says that is a red flag. It is also not a reason to stop planning.

Reality

Evidence66
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+14
Incentives62
Confidence63
investOne report1 publisher

Billionaires are hedging California's wealth tax for about twelve basis points

The San Francisco Democratic Party broke with its state party 17-4 to oppose Prop 40, but the six billionaires who have already ended their California residency are the only votes on this measure that are already counted.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence54
Adoption58
Hype gap+14
Incentives86
Confidence46
investOne report1 publisher

California's 5% billionaire levy draws strong under-30 support amid slipping overall backing

Proposition 40 would take 5% once from anyone worth over $1 billion. August polling puts it at 48% among likely voters and 75% among 18-to-29s. The composition of the November electorate is the only number that decides it.

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+19
Incentives84
Confidence52
investOne report1 publisher

CalCPA turns California's billionaire tax into a valuation fight, and backs the measure that kills it

The CPA body opposes Proposition 40 on administrability grounds, then endorses Proposition 42, which would bar the tax outright. Approval votes, not a majority, settle it.

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+14
Incentives78
Confidence52
investOne report1 publisher

California's billionaires are spending about 1% of their tax exposure to kill Proposition 40

John Doerr put in $7.5 million and Chris Larsen $10 million against a one-time 5% wealth tax. Measured against what the measure would cost them, that is cheap insurance.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence57
Adoption71
Hype gap+16
Incentives84
Confidence61
investOne report1 publisher

Brin's $102m Doesn't Fight Prop 40. It Funds Two Measures That Would Void It

California's billionaire tax faces a nine-figure defense built as ballot engineering: two counter-measures that only have to outpoll Prop 40, not beat it head-on.

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption58
Hype gap+12
Incentives88
Confidence64