Leonardo DRS puts its four-panel cxMHR air defense radar into initial production
Leonardo DRS has begun initial production of its cxMHR radar, which it rates at 56 miles against drones and 205 against transport aircraft. The company has not published equivalent ranges for every threat it lists.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
Hanwha Aerospace delivered the first wheeled K9 howitzer prototype to the US Army, which named it XM1776 after a contract signed in August. The Army drops the X and calls it the M1776 once it clears testing.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence60
BAE Systems unveils a Technology Readiness Level 6 high-power microwave weapon to counter drone swarms
BAE Systems unveiled a high-power microwave weapon at AUSA 2026 that it says has reached Technology Readiness Level 6. Only the microwave half of the pairing works without conventional ammunition, and no Army adoption is shown.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives70
- Confidence50
Forterra and Hypercraft's armed driverless supply vehicle is still a trade-show pitch
Forterra and Hypercraft showed a driverless vehicle with a 4,000-pound payload and an anti-drone shotgun at AUSA, but announced no customer, contract or price. Until someone signs, the evidence a buyer can use belongs to parts already tested or contracted on military trucks.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives75
- Confidence40
Moog is qualifying Niron's rare-earth-free magnets for military actuators ahead of commercial supply
Moog is qualifying Niron's rare-earth-free iron nitride magnets in military actuators while Niron's commercial production is still up to 18 months away. The supply security being pitched to Army buyers depends on that output arriving.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives75
- Confidence40